Poster Session

The poster session will take place during the conference reception in the Tower Zamansky, that offers a panoramic view on Paris.

Demographic Transition Estimating in Constructing New Cities By Using GIS Applications to Support Development Process in Egypt

Small area estimation is any of several statistical techniques involving the estimation of parameters for small sub-populations, generally used when the sub-population of interest is included in a larger survey. The term “small area” in this context generally refers to a small geographical area such as a district, zone or city. It may also refer […]

Bayesian non parametric multiresolution estimation for the American Community Survey

Bayesian hierarchical methods implemented for small area estimation focus on reducing the noise variation in published government official statistics by borrowing information among dependent response values. Even the most flexible models confine parameters defined at the finest scale to link to each data observation in a one-to-one construction. We propose a Bayesian multiresolution formulation that utilizes an ensemble of […]

Small area estimation of regional diabetes prevalence from biased health insurance data

Medical studies suggest that assessing disease distributions on regional levels is very important for planning and providing healthcare programmes. Data from national health surveys is frequently used in this context to obtain regional prevalence estimates. But these surveys often lack sufficient local observations due to limited ressources. Subsequently, regional prevalence estimates can be unreliable because […]

Survey-weighted Unit-Level SAE

Official statistic surveys often aim to provide reliable estimates for nation-wide population figures. These surveys often make use of complex survey designs to improve efficiency of the national estimates. However, when considering regional estimates, the sample sizes within the regions may be too low to apply classical design-based estimators. In this case, the small area […]

Small area estimation for grouped data

We are concerned with small area estimation for grouped data or frequency distribution. There are two fundamental models for model-based small area estimation: one is the Fay-Herriot model for area level data, the other is the nested error regression model for unit level data. Because it is difficult to access unit level data in many […]

Small Area Estimation for Repeated Survey and Positively Skewed Distributions

This paper focuses on small area estimation for repeated survey data with positively skewed distribution. Nowadays, the demand for small area statistics which utilize cross-sectional and repeated measures data is increasing. For instance, Indonesian National Socio-Economic Survey is conducted twice a year. In our study, we consider repeated survey including the same census blocks at […]

Comparison of MCMC and ADM methods for Hierarchical Bayesian Estimates in Small Area Estimation

In this paper, we compare the accuracy of the Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) and Adjusted Density Method (ADM) in approximating Hierarchical Bayesian (HB) estimates in the context of small area estimation. We apply a three-level hierarchical model to poverty data from the 2005 American Community Survey and experiment with a flat improper prior. Both MCMC and […]

Design Based Approach for SAE with Gradient Boosted Models.

Weighted model estimates such as those from pseudo maximum likelihood (PML) are both model consistent and design consistent. Design-based Jackknife replication are sound in theory and flexible in practice for variance calculation. These pave a path to applying machine-learning in SAE in which model likelihood function may not be available. A major advantage of machine-learner […]

Applying the small area estimation approach to multi-dimensional child poverty in Nigeria.

In this paper the Small Area Estimation approach (Rao, 2003) is used to estimate and analyse multi-dimensional Child Poverty for Local Government Areas (LGA) in Nigeria. There are 774 LGAs (the political-administrative level below the 36 States comprising the Nigerian Federation). This is the first ever estimate of Child Poverty with such detailed level of […]

The use of the FH Model in entrepreneurial activity assessment

The paper presents attempts to use indirect estimation methodology – area-level time models and administrative data to estimate basic economic information about small business at a low level of aggregation. Economic policy requires current knowledge of the extent of this phenomenon. Such information is provided mainly through sample surveys conducted by among the others Central […]